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Inflation may occur inside the target until ’26

Economic Economic Experts expect decisive decrease in order to stay in COUNTREN BANK’S 2-4% TARGET Since this year to 2026, Bangko Sentral Ng Pipipinas (BSP).

The recent BSP research of its financial policy report indicates that the incomphasis of this year’s’ for 3.1%, under the basic bias of center.

The survey revealed 82.6% opportunities that inflation will remain within the target this year and 83.5% of 2026 opportunities.

“Awaiting inflation continues to be properly installed. The risks are widely limited, the ENTLIA injury is expected to remain low and under the interior.”

Then, in 2026, the economicians expected inflation to 3.2%, and under the BSP’s 3.5% prediction.

Hewaydline is 3.2% reduction in 2024, well inside the target band. January Data will be released on February 5.

The survey showed the idea of ​​infinity infringement on the object is driven mainly by reducing rice and oil prices.

“Low risk in inflation views are widely seen from low prices, between higher planning (EO) Number 62 and low prices,” said BSP,

President Ferdinand R. Marcos, JR. The last June signed Eo 62, which killed rice prices to import 15% from 35% up to 2028, pointed the need to reduce rice prices.

Ladi-power decrease in 0.8% in December from 5.1% in November and 19.6% annually. Rice is generally a very large supplier in inflation.

International oil prices are easily visible, according to BSP.

“Rebelling values ​​are refused due to market expectations in the production of higher American oil production and worldwide demand and global expectations.”

“This has led to the delaying the increase in the implementation of the oil supplement by international exports (Opec +).”

However, Central Bank warned that price decrease was breaking 2-4% band if Dubai Crude CRUDI prices were between $ 90 per 202.

The Development Budget Contact Committee awaits Dubai Crude oil for $ 60 to $ 80 for $ 80 for Rember of Bin from 2025 to 2026.

“These oil prices are only considerable effects and do not include results that can circulate the transportation cycle, food prices, and increase in wage.”

Examined Analysts also perpetuate the risks in pricing views such as disturbance due to geopopolitical conflicts and the negative weather conditions.

“Access Spike, high expectations of the expectations, and secure trading policies are also identified as high risks,” added.

The BSP also notes that it is possible to increase electricity levels in the coming months.

“On July 2023, the Supreme Court was in vain prices for electric electricity market (Wosm) in December 2013 and December 2013.

Central bank previously warned that the equality of accidents in the inflation is always inclined to look at this year and next.

The BSP expects inflation to be solved in the middle of the 2-4% until the first part of 2025, before accelerating the target from the second part of 2026 to the first half of 2026.

Inflation will close the medium in the target for a second half of 2026, driven by the global prices worldwide, added.

Reduction
At that time, the analysts inspected by the BSP also expects the financial policy found this year.

“For 2025, views that the BSP will relieve its policy on the cost of 50-16 Points. At the time, analysts have mixed views in 2026,” BSP said.

Last year, financial boards have saved prices at the number of 75 BPS, bring the main number to 5.75% per long-2024.

“Estimated, there is an estimated reduction in the minimum financial policy given within the intended inflation, non-controlled pricing and pricing expectations. However, the risk of inflation,” said BSP.

“More cutting on the policy will help strengthen the financial impact of money in the market market, borrower, and the integrated need.”

The BSP Ruler Eli M. Remona, JR. You have set up a continuously releasing place like curThe rental policy is in the field “restricted.” However, Central Bank is possible to bring more price decrease in the price “on the steps of the children.”

‘Below may be’
At that time, the BSP expects Philippine economy to “grow under possible potential” more than a word near the reduced need. The government is looking at 6-8% in 2025 to 2026.

“Homework is reflecting the economic reduction in economic work until 2026,” he said.

The BSP is expected to increase in 2024 economic growth in a public setting under a government target of 6-6,5.5%, after the expected third-day product (GDP).

Count-quarter and full-year GDP data will be issued today (Jan. 30).

“However, GDP Growth appears to make modest progress and settled near the lower end of the 2025 and 2026 stones, “said BSP.

“The global inflation, reducing the BSP financial policy, and the reduction of service delivery is evident to support local economic activities.”

Home Need again seemed to ‘always strong but overcome.’ – Luisa Maria Jacinga C. jocson


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