Trump is not yet the president of the US, but his plans for the war in Ukraine are bigger than the G20
The G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro, which begins on Monday, has already been affected by ever-changing political events, regardless of Brazil’s official body fighting hunger, poverty and inequality.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is in Brazil after the Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC) conference in Lima, the capital of Peru, where he admitted that many talks with other nations were about preparing for the presidency of Donald Trump and what might happen. accomplished before he took over the White House.
“I think there might be things to…
The G20 will probably not be different, especially given the many media reports that US President Joe Biden has decided to remove the restrictions on Ukraine so that he can now use the weapons provided by the United States to strike deep into Russian territory. Many news reports say that Ukraine plans to use this policy to push back and launch a long-range attack sooner rather than later.
“While defense issues are not involved in the plans… they can’t help but communicate in some way,” retired Canadian lieutenant-general Guy Thibault, chairman of the Conference of Defense Associations Institute and former deputy chief of defense staff, said in an interview with – CBC News.
“Given our observations and concerns about international insecurity resulting from conflict, [whether] be it the Middle East, be it Ukraine, be it… [what] what we see in the Indo-Pacific, it will definitely be discussed,” he said.
There is no guarantee that Trump will not reverse Biden’s decision in two months when he takes office, given the support of the president-elect in Ukraine, which was invaded by Russia in February 2022.
“Let’s … be very blunt. All the allies in the world could not replace the complete withdrawal of support for Ukraine by the United States,” said Trudeau.
That’s the same challenge for any deals made in Rio over the next two days. No one knows what will happen to those decisions on January 20, when Trump is sworn in.
But even reaching a consensus without Trump at the table will be a challenge. The G20 – the world’s 20 largest economies – is a diverse group of friends, rivals and even enemies.
‘Rise of conflict’
Canada’s relationship with China is strained – and won’t improve anytime soon as Trump takes office in the US
“Trade wars with China will come back,” said Vina Nadjibulla, vice president of research and strategy at the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada.
“There’s going to be an escalation of tensions on issues that affect Taiwan … there’s going to be more volatility and uncertainty in the relationship. And Canada will need to look at that because once again, we could find ourselves caught in the middle.”
The federal government announced Wednesday that it is ordering TikTok to shut down its operations in Canada, but Canadians can still download and use the app. On Thursday, Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly said the federal government is ‘concerned by the activities of the TikTok Canada company.’
Canada’s relationship with India is strained. Then there’s how the Canadian government feels about Russia.
“My level of trust in Vladimir Putin is probably at an all-time low right now,” Trudeau said.
The Russian president will not be attending the G20 again this year – freeing the host country from the dire possibility of taking internationally-sanctioned action to arrest Putin. In his place, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov will represent Russia.
Trudeau has several one-on-one meetings scheduled with other leaders, including Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. The upcoming renegotiation of the free trade agreement between Canada, the US and Mexico is likely to be high-profile, especially after Trudeau did not rule out that Mexico would leave the negotiations if it did not comply with its tariffs on China and Canada’s US
Trudeau will sit down with Biden again on Monday, a meeting that may remind us of the farewell conversation the prime minister had with Barack Obama at the G20 in 2016, before Trump became president for the first time.
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